Development and Evaluation of TMDL Planning and Assessment Tools and Processes

S-1004 Regional Research Project

Objective

Approach

Evaluate existing watershed assessment models (FHANTM, EAAMOD, ACRU2000, etc.) for their applicability for TMDL development in agricultural watersheds.  The ultimate goal of this task is to identify tools that assess the impact of agricultural practices on the hydrologic, chemical, biological, and economic response of a watershed and that are appropriate for TMDL development.

Collect and assemble comprehensive databases to facilitate development and evaluation of models used for TMDL development.  Reliable, comprehensive, and complete data sets are necessary for the development, testing and validation of comprehensive watershed models.  Computer development has driven the development of detailed distributed models that take into consideration variability in land use, geography and climate.  Data to derive some input parameters required for comprehensive models used for TMDL development are often limited.  By utilizing existing data wherever possible, this project will provide data from plot, field, and watershed experiments for use in the model development and testing activities.  The data will be used to test/evaluate the various watershed assessment and TMDL development tools to determine their performance and adaptability for various water quality impairments and under the variety of geological and land-use conditions represented in the project.  We will monitor management practices in the Lake Okeechobee basin in support of the Lake Okeechobee basin TMDL development effort and these data will be made available to project cooperators for model development and evaluation.

Develop better guidelines for calibration and estimation of model uncertainty.  A critical component of this task will be to determine what is the minimum amount of data needed to develop sound TMDLs.  This may vary with the particular modeling approach used for TMDL development.  This task is essential because the lack of water quality and flow data has been identified as one of the most severe problems facing the TMDL program.  We will work toward evaluating the impacts of errors or uncertainty in model predictions and resulting uncertainty in TMDL allocations.

Extend capability of models for TMDL development.  If problems are identified with the existing models with respect to TMDL development, efforts will be made to improve the models where feasible.  We will continue the development of algorithms to predict the impact of agricultural practices on the physical and chemical constituents in water  and their delivery out of the watershed.